I remember being told by one of my professors that the warming of the atlantic ocean will set off another ice age. He told me that it is a mere matter of only two degrees from where it is now. Thoughts?
On Mar 21, 2014, at 11:46 AM, firstname.lastname@example.org wrote:
http://ift.tt/1hPi7jl of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate changeCasimir de Lavergne, Jaime B. Palter, Eric D. Galbraith, Raffaele Bernardello & Irina Marinov AffiliationsContributionsCorresponding authorNature Climate Change (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2132 Received 02 September 2013 Accepted 13 January 2014 Published online 02 March 2014 Article toolsCitationReprintsRights & permissionsArticle metricsIn 1974, newly available satellite observations unveiled the presence of a giant ice-free area, or polynya, within the Antarctic ice pack of the Weddell Sea, which persisted during the two following winters1. Subsequent research showed that deep convective overturning had opened a conduit between the surface and the abyssal ocean, and had maintained the polynya through the massive release of heat from the deep sea2, 3. Although the polynya has aroused continued interest1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, the presence of a fresh surface layer has prevented the recurrence of deep convection there since 19768, and it is now largely viewed as a naturally rare event10. Here, we present a new analysis of historical observations and model simulations that suggest deep convection in the Weddell Sea was more active in the past, and has been weakened by anthropogenic forcing. The observations show that surface freshening of the southern polar ocean since the 1950s has considerably enhanced the salinity stratification. Meanwhile, among the present generation of global climate models, deep convection is common in the Southern Ocean under pre-industrial conditions, but weakens and ceases under a climate change scenario owing to surface freshening. A decline of open-ocean convection would reduce the production rate of Antarctic Bottom Waters, with important implications for ocean heat and carbon storage, and may have played a role in recent Antarctic climate change.